Norwegian political scientist Sverre Lodgaard calls JCPOA as a win-win agreement between Iran and P5+1 saying that possible withdrawal of the US from the historical deal will draw stiff reaction from the European Union.
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“That agreement was a win-win agreement. The parties got the most in the areas that mattered most for them. Arms control for the big powers, for the United States, first of all, sanctions relief for Iran … I am happy to say that Iran has fully complied with all the provisions, so the agreement has worked and it is of great value security policy-wise and economically, because it means that relations between Iran and the outside world, Europe not least, can open up again,” Norwegian political scientist Sverre Lodgaard said during a visit to Press TV”s headquarters in Tehran.
He said the European Union is “strongly committed” to the nuclear deal because it has invested a lot in the agreement both diplomatically and politically and has economic interests in cooperating with Iran.
The analyst went on to say that if Iran continued to comply with the agreement, the European Union would do that as well.
“So the effect could be that the agreement remains. The United States may withdraw but it cannot tear the agreement apart and if this were to happen, it will well be that the United States would withdraw and Israel and Saudi Arabia might go along with that, but virtually all other members of the United Nations would stay put,” he stated.
Lodgaard said if the United States decided to withdraw from the JCPOA, the Europeans’ reaction would be “stiff.” European countries, he said, act on the basis of international law, regulations and agreements while Washington's decision to go back on its commitments to the deal is based on "disingenuous descriptions"
Elsewhere in his remarks, the analyst said if the United States decided to re-impose economic sanctions on Iran, it would cause problems for the Europeans as well.
However, the political scientist predicted that if secondary sanctions were to be reintroduced, they would not work effectively as they did in the past due to the fact that they were re-imposed on the basis of “disingenuous political play.”
Lodgaard concluded by saying that if Washington decided to leave the JCPOA, it would undermine the standing of the United States and the efficiency of new sanctions, given the fact that Iran has complied fully with the agreement and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has been “very unambiguous” about that.
